Estimation of the long term dryness pattern for Pahang state using integrated SDSM-SPI model / (Record no. 96793)

MARC details
000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 04663ntm a2200361 i 4500
003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER
control field MY-KuUP
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
control field 20251125110021.0
006 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--ADDITIONAL MATERIAL CHARACTERISTICS
fixed length control field t||||fr|||| 000 0
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 220301s2020 my a|||fr|||| 000 0 eng d
020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER
International Standard Book Number THE0009123(Local)
Qualifying information hardback
040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE
Original cataloging agency UMP
Language of cataloging eng
Transcribing agency UMP
Description conventions rda
090 ## - LOCALLY ASSIGNED LC-TYPE CALL NUMBER (OCLC); LOCAL CALL NUMBER (RLIN)
Classification number (OCLC) (R) ; Classification number, CALL (RLIN) (NR) FTKA .S25 2020 r Thesis
100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Ahmad Saifuddin Othman,
Relator term author.
245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Estimation of the long term dryness pattern for Pahang state using integrated SDSM-SPI model /
Statement of responsibility, etc. Ahmad Saifuddin Othman
264 #1 - PRODUCTION, PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, MANUFACTURE, AND COPYRIGHT NOTICE
Place of production, publication, distribution, manufacture Kuantan, Pahang :
Name of producer, publisher, distributor, manufacturer UMP,
Date of production, publication, distribution, manufacture, or copyright notice 2020
264 #4 - PRODUCTION, PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, MANUFACTURE, AND COPYRIGHT NOTICE
Date of production, publication, distribution, manufacture, or copyright notice © 2020
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Extent xv,126 pages :
Other physical details illustrations (some color) ;
Dimensions 30 cm. +
Accompanying material 1 CD ROM
336 ## - CONTENT TYPE
Content type term text
Source rdacontent
336 ## - CONTENT TYPE
Content type term text
Source rdacontent
337 ## - MEDIA TYPE
Media type term unmediated
Source rdamedia
337 ## - MEDIA TYPE
Media type term computer
Source rdamedia
338 ## - CARRIER TYPE
Carrier type term volume
Source rdacarrier
338 ## - CARRIER TYPE
Carrier type term computer disc
Source rdacarrier
347 ## - DIGITAL FILE CHARACTERISTICS
File type text file
Encoding format PDF
Source rda
500 ## - GENERAL NOTE
General note Faculty of Civil Engineering Technology
502 ## - DISSERTATION NOTE
Dissertation note Thesis (Master of Science) -- Universiti Malaysia Pahang – 2020
504 ## - BIBLIOGRAPHY, ETC. NOTE
Bibliography, etc. note Includes bibliographical references
520 3# - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc. Drought or long dry season is a global issue that adversely gives huge impact on the world. Plenty of calamities have been reported by Malaysian Meteorological Department (MET) since 1900s. Malaysia faced at least 12 times of extreme drought from 1951 to 1998, especially during southwest season changes. Although the formation of this calamity was influenced by the season changes, however frequent occurrence of this event majorly affected by the uncertainty of global climate changes and drastic emission of greenhouse gases (GHGs). In this study, the integrated model of Statistical Downscaling Model and Standardised Precipitation Index (SDSM-SPI) was applied to estimate the probability of extreme dry events in Pahang. SDSM is a statistical climate model that been used to understand the change on present or long-term future climate condition in response to the long-term dispersion of greenhouse gases and aerosols emission into the atmospheric system. The chosen of the best suitable atmospheric variables is vital in obtaining a good long-term future climate condition prediction. The projected rainfall and temperature pattern for the interval year of Δ2020, Δ2050, and Δ2080 were used as important data input to estimate the event pattern in the study region. Therefore, the identification of potential dryness event in the long-term become significant to monitor how frequent the event and how huge the impact on water resources efficiency. By AR5, all RCPs agreed the annual rainfall was predicted to decrease until end of century. RCP4.5 produced a larger decrement (−3.1 %) from the historical record compared to RCP2.6 (−2.7 %), and RCP8.5 (−2.9 %). The heaviest rainfall was predicted to occur at most regions in Kuantan, Pekan, and southern of Bentong. Due to non-uniform rainfall pattern, almost 42 % of Pahang was predicted to receive lower rainfall intensity. Meanwhile, the temperature was predicted to have small increment in April to June, reaches over 33°C which might be influenced by the season interchanges. The highest and lowest temperature was estimated to be in May (34°C) and January (22°C), respectively. Even the changes were not too high, however it will still contribute to the water scarcity problem when it frequently happens in a longer period. The SDSM-SPI result shows the probability percentage of a normal level pattern is about 84 – 85 %. However, about 2 – 3 % of probability extreme pattern were detected at this state. Several areas such as Janda Baik and Kg Manchis are exposed to the dryness in the certain year with the SPI value detected to drop to −2. The calibration and validation processes were conducted to identify the fundamental rules and the predictand-predictors relationships are suited to original data. The calibration results obtained a good agreement for temperature and rainfall stations with low RMSE ranges 0.01 - 0.04°C and 5.0 - 15.0mm, respectively. However, the error slightly increased in the validation part for temperature and rainfall intensity with ranges 0.3 - 0.4°C and 25.0 - 72.0mm, respectively. Thus, it is reliable to be significant information to the respective agencies for the long term planning and management of water resources.
610 20 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--CORPORATE NAME
Corporate name or jurisdiction name as entry element Faculty of Civil Engineering Technology
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Universities and colleges
General subdivision Dissertations
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Theses
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Source of classification or shelving scheme Library of Congress Classification
Koha item type Thesis
Holdings
Withdrawn status Lost status Source of classification or shelving scheme Damaged status Not for loan Collection Home library Current library Date acquired Total checkouts Full call number Barcode Date last seen Copy number Price effective from Koha item type
  Not lost Library of Congress Classification   Not for loan Reference UMPLIB GAMBANG UMPLIB GAMBANG 01/03/2022   FTKA .S25 2020 r Thesis T000001335 19/05/2022 1 01/03/2022 Thesis
  Not lost Library of Congress Classification   Not for loan Reference UMPLIB GAMBANG UMPLIB GAMBANG 01/03/2022   CD12834 T000001336 30/01/2023 1 01/03/2022 Thesis

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