02873nam a2200313 a 4500001001400000003000700014005001700021006001900038007001500057008004100072020003500113020003200148020001500180020001800195040000800213245059500221260005700816300004200873500004600915504005100961520093701012538002901949650005301978650003802031650005402069710021202123710009002335856013402425vtls000049599KUKTEM20251117141428.0m    f   d        cr cnu---unuuu110110t2008    dcu    fo     000 0 eng d  a9780309115698 (electronic bk.)  a0309115698 (electronic bk.)  z030911568X  z9780309115681  aUMP00aReview of CCSP draft synthesis and assessment product 5.3h[electronic resource] :bdecison- support experiments and evaluations using seasonal to interannual forecasts and observational data /cPanel to Review CCSP Draft Synthesis and Assessment Product 5.3: Decision-Support Experiments and Evaluations Using Seasonal to Interannual Forecasts and Observational Data ; Committee on the Human Dimensions of Global Change, Center for Economic, Governance and International Studies, Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education, National Research Council of the National Academies  aWashington, D.C. :bNational Academies Press,cc2008  a1 online resource (ix, 46 p.) :bill.  aDescription based on print version record  aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 40-42)  aThis study offered an independent peer review for a synthetic document being produced for the CCSP. It found the draft document to be in a fairly early stage of development and noted several issues needing attention in the revision. The draft was inconsistent across sections with respect to whether or not it accepted two assumptions: that more skillful forecasts necessarily have greater value, and that the most useful form of information is a projected future value of an outcome parameter with an uncertainty distribution. Available scientific evidence gives reason to question these assumptions, and the draft did not discuss the evidence. Among other issues needing attention, the review called for the revised draft to do more to substantiate its claims of the potential benefits of knowledge-action networks and to give more careful consideration to the appropriate balance of roles between governmental and private efforts  aMode of access: Internet 0aClimatologyxResearchzUnited StatesxEvaluation 0aClimatic changesxRisk assessment 0aAtmospheric carbon dioxidexEnvironmental aspects2 aNational Research Council (U.S.).bPanel to Review CCSP Draft Synthesis and Assessment Product 5.3: Decision-Support Experiments and Evaluations Using Seasonal to Interannual Forecasts and Observational Data2 aNational Research Council (U.S.).bCommittee on the Human Dimensions of Global Change403NetLibrary. click here to accessuhttp://www.netlibrary.com.libraryumpsa.idm.oclc.org/urlapi.asp?action=summary&v=1&bookid=220465