03235nam a2200373 a 4500 vtls000049599 KUKTEM 20251117141428.0 m f d cr cnu---unuuu 110110t2008 dcu fo 000 0 eng d 9780309115698 (electronic bk.) 0309115698 (electronic bk.) 030911568X 9780309115681 201107140010 VLOAD 201106030812 ida 201105191137 asmadi 201101101058 ida import 1.mrk 252 UMP QC861.3 .R48 2008 Review of CCSP draft synthesis and assessment product 5.3 [electronic resource] : decison- support experiments and evaluations using seasonal to interannual forecasts and observational data / Panel to Review CCSP Draft Synthesis and Assessment Product 5.3: Decision-Support Experiments and Evaluations Using Seasonal to Interannual Forecasts and Observational Data ; Committee on the Human Dimensions of Global Change, Center for Economic, Governance and International Studies, Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education, National Research Council of the National Academies Washington, D.C. : National Academies Press, c2008 1 online resource (ix, 46 p.) : ill. Description based on print version record Includes bibliographical references (p. 40-42) This study offered an independent peer review for a synthetic document being produced for the CCSP. It found the draft document to be in a fairly early stage of development and noted several issues needing attention in the revision. The draft was inconsistent across sections with respect to whether or not it accepted two assumptions: that more skillful forecasts necessarily have greater value, and that the most useful form of information is a projected future value of an outcome parameter with an uncertainty distribution. Available scientific evidence gives reason to question these assumptions, and the draft did not discuss the evidence. Among other issues needing attention, the review called for the revised draft to do more to substantiate its claims of the potential benefits of knowledge-action networks and to give more careful consideration to the appropriate balance of roles between governmental and private efforts Mode of access: Internet Climatology Research United States Evaluation Climatic changes Risk assessment Atmospheric carbon dioxide Environmental aspects National Research Council (U.S.). Panel to Review CCSP Draft Synthesis and Assessment Product 5.3: Decision-Support Experiments and Evaluations Using Seasonal to Interannual Forecasts and Observational Data National Research Council (U.S.). Committee on the Human Dimensions of Global Change NetLibrary. click here to access http://www.netlibrary.com.libraryumpsa.idm.oclc.org/urlapi.asp?action=summary&v=1&bookid=220465 0 0 0 1 10000 10000 2019-09-04 0 QC861.3 .R48 2008 0000057062 2019-09-04 00:00:00 1 2019-09-04 EBOOK 634293014559499162 16754 16760 VIRTUA40 VTLSSORT0060*0070*0080*0200*0201*0202*0203*0400*0900*2450*2600*3000*5000*5040*5200*5380*6500*6501*6502*7100*7101*8560*9992