Girosi, Federico <br/><br/>
Demographic forecasting / 
Federico Girosi and Gary King ; with contributions from Kevin Quinn and Gregory Wawro 
 - Princeton :  Princeton University Press,  c2008 
 - xviii, 267 p. :  ill. (some col.) ;  27 cm. 
<br/><br/>Includes bibliographical references (p. [251]-257) and index 
<br/><br/>Qualitative view -- Existing methods for forecasting mortality. Methods without covariates ; Methods with covariates -- Statistical modeling. The model ; Priors over grouped continuous variables ; Model selection ; Adding priors over time and space ; Comparisons and extensions -- Estimation. Markov Chain Monte Carlo estimation ; Fast estimation without Markov Chains -- Empirical evidence. Illustrative analyses ; Comparative analyses ; Concluding remarks ; A. Notation -- B. Mathematical refresher -- C. Improper normal priors -- D. Discretization of the derivative operator -- E. Smoothness over graphs 
<br/><br/><label>ISBN: </label>9780691130958 (pbk. : alk. paper) 0691130957 (pbk. : alk. paper) 9780691130941 (alk. paper) 0691130949 (alk. paper) 
<br/><br/><label>Subjects--Topical Terms: </label><br/>Mortality<br/>Forecasting--methods<br/>Models, Statistical<br/>Mortality--Forecasting--Methodology<br/>Mortality--Statistical methods<br/>Demography