01912nam a2200337 a 4500 vtls000039841 KUKTEM 20251117145446.0 090708t2008 njua f b 001 0 eng d 9780691130958 (pbk. : alk. paper) 0691130957 (pbk. : alk. paper) 9780691130941 (alk. paper) 0691130949 (alk. paper) 201107132149 VLOAD 201010181537 fauzi 200908141645 VLOAD 200908141622 VLOAD 200907081203 saini UMP HB1321 .G56 2008 Girosi, Federico Demographic forecasting / Federico Girosi and Gary King ; with contributions from Kevin Quinn and Gregory Wawro Princeton : Princeton University Press, c2008 xviii, 267 p. : ill. (some col.) ; 27 cm. Includes bibliographical references (p. [251]-257) and index Qualitative view -- Existing methods for forecasting mortality. Methods without covariates ; Methods with covariates -- Statistical modeling. The model ; Priors over grouped continuous variables ; Model selection ; Adding priors over time and space ; Comparisons and extensions -- Estimation. Markov Chain Monte Carlo estimation ; Fast estimation without Markov Chains -- Empirical evidence. Illustrative analyses ; Comparative analyses ; Concluding remarks ; A. Notation -- B. Mathematical refresher -- C. Improper normal priors -- D. Discretization of the derivative operator -- E. Smoothness over graphs Mortality Forecasting methods Models, Statistical Mortality Forecasting Methodology Mortality Statistical methods Demography King, Gary 0 0 0 0 10000 10000 2019-09-04 121.80 0 HB1321 .G56 2008 0000050293 2019-09-04 00:00:00 1 121.80 2019-09-04 OPEN VIRTUA40 46680 46686 VTLSSORT0080*0200*0201*0202*0203*0400*0900*1000*2450*2600*3000*5040*5050*6500*6501*6502*6503*6504*6505*7000*9991