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  <titleInfo>
    <title>Demographic forecasting</title>
  </titleInfo>
  <name type="personal">
    <namePart>Girosi, Federico</namePart>
    <role>
      <roleTerm authority="marcrelator" type="text">creator</roleTerm>
    </role>
  </name>
  <name type="personal">
    <namePart>King, Gary</namePart>
  </name>
  <typeOfResource>text</typeOfResource>
  <genre authority="marc">bibliography</genre>
  <originInfo>
    <place>
      <placeTerm type="code" authority="marccountry">nju</placeTerm>
    </place>
    <place>
      <placeTerm type="text">Princeton</placeTerm>
    </place>
    <publisher>Princeton University Press</publisher>
    <dateIssued>c2008</dateIssued>
    <dateIssued encoding="marc">2008</dateIssued>
    <issuance>monographic</issuance>
  </originInfo>
  <language>
    <languageTerm authority="iso639-2b" type="code">eng</languageTerm>
  </language>
  <physicalDescription>
    <form authority="marcform">print</form>
    <extent>xviii, 267 p. : ill. (some col.) ; 27 cm.</extent>
  </physicalDescription>
  <tableOfContents>Qualitative view -- Existing methods for forecasting mortality. Methods without covariates ; Methods with covariates -- Statistical modeling. The model ; Priors over grouped continuous variables ; Model selection ; Adding priors over time and space ; Comparisons and extensions -- Estimation. Markov Chain Monte Carlo estimation ; Fast estimation without Markov Chains -- Empirical evidence. Illustrative analyses ; Comparative analyses ; Concluding remarks ; A. Notation -- B. Mathematical refresher -- C. Improper normal priors -- D. Discretization of the derivative operator -- E. Smoothness over graphs</tableOfContents>
  <targetAudience authority="marctarget">specialized</targetAudience>
  <note type="statement of responsibility">Federico Girosi and Gary King ; with contributions from Kevin Quinn and Gregory Wawro</note>
  <note>Includes bibliographical references (p. [251]-257) and index</note>
  <subject authority="mesh">
    <topic>Mortality</topic>
  </subject>
  <subject authority="mesh">
    <topic>Forecasting</topic>
    <topic>methods</topic>
  </subject>
  <subject authority="mesh">
    <topic>Models, Statistical</topic>
  </subject>
  <subject authority="lcsh">
    <topic>Mortality</topic>
    <topic>Forecasting</topic>
    <topic>Methodology</topic>
  </subject>
  <subject authority="lcsh">
    <topic>Mortality</topic>
    <topic>Statistical methods</topic>
  </subject>
  <subject authority="lcsh">
    <topic>Demography</topic>
  </subject>
  <identifier type="isbn">9780691130958 (pbk. : alk. paper)</identifier>
  <identifier type="isbn">0691130957 (pbk. : alk. paper)</identifier>
  <identifier type="isbn">9780691130941 (alk. paper)</identifier>
  <identifier type="isbn">0691130949 (alk. paper)</identifier>
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    <recordChangeDate encoding="iso8601">20251117145446.0</recordChangeDate>
    <recordIdentifier source="KUKTEM">vtls000039841</recordIdentifier>
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