TY  - BOOK
AU  - Girosi,Federico
AU  - King,Gary
TI  - Demographic forecasting
SN  - 9780691130958 (pbk. : alk. paper)
PY  - 2008///
CY  - Princeton
PB  - Princeton University Press
KW  - Mortality
KW  - Forecasting
KW  - methods
KW  - Models, Statistical
KW  - Methodology
KW  - Statistical methods
KW  - Demography
N1  - Includes bibliographical references (p. [251]-257) and index; Qualitative view -- Existing methods for forecasting mortality. Methods without covariates ; Methods with covariates -- Statistical modeling. The model ; Priors over grouped continuous variables ; Model selection ; Adding priors over time and space ; Comparisons and extensions -- Estimation. Markov Chain Monte Carlo estimation ; Fast estimation without Markov Chains -- Empirical evidence. Illustrative analyses ; Comparative analyses ; Concluding remarks ; A. Notation -- B. Mathematical refresher -- C. Improper normal priors -- D. Discretization of the derivative operator -- E. Smoothness over graphs
ER  -