from foundations to applications Edwards, Ward Miles, Ralph F. Von Winterfeldt, Detlof text bibliography enk Cambridge New York Cambridge University Press 2007 monographic eng

print

xv, 623 p. : ill. ; 24 cm. The emergence of decision analysis / Ralph F. Miles, Jr. -- The foundations of decision analysis revisited / Ronald A. Howard -- Decision analysis : a personal account of how it got started and evolved / Howard Raiffa -- Reflections on the contributions of Ward Edwards to decision analysis and behavioral research / Lawrence D. Phillips and Detlof von Winterfeldt -- Defining a decision analytic structure / Detlof von Winterfeldt and Ward Edwards -- Developing objectives and attributes / Ralph L. Keeney -- Eliciting probabilities from experts / Stephen C. Hora -- Aggregating probability distributions / Robert T. Clemen and Robert L. Winkler -- Model building with belief networks and influence diagrams / Ross D. Shachter -- A Bayesian approach to learning causal networks / David Heckerman -- Utility and risk preferences / David E. Bell -- Practical value models -- Ralph L. Keeney and Detlof von Winterfeldt -- Extensions of the subjective expected utility model / Robert F. Nau -- Probabilistic risk analysis for engineered systems / Vicki M. Bier and Louis Anthony Cox, Jr. -- The engineering risk-analysis method and some applications / M. Elisabeth Paté-Cornell -- Health risk analysis for risk-management decision-making / Louis Anthony Cox, Jr. -- What have we learned from our mistakes? / Barbara Mellers and Connson Locke -- Decision conferencing / Lawrence D. Phillips -- Resource allocation decisions / Don N. Kleinmuntz -- From decision analysis to the decision organization / David Matheson and James E. Matheson -- Building decision competency in organizations / Carl S. Spetzler -- Negotiation analysis : between decisions and games / James K. Sebenius -- The adoption of multiattribute utility theory for the evaluation of plutonium disposition options in the United States and Russia / John C. Butler, Alexander N. Chebeskov, James S. Dyer, Thomas A. Edmunds, Jianmin Jia, and Vladimir I. Oussanov -- Choosing a tritium supply technology for nuclear weapons : reflections on a controversial decision analysis / Detlof von Winterfeldt -- Applications of decision analysis to the military systems acquisition process / Dennis M. Buede and Terry A. Bresnick -- Balancing environmental and operational objectives in nuclear refueling strategies / Phillip C. Beccue and Jeffrey S. Stonebraker -- Perspective on decision analysis applications / Donald L. Keefer, Craig W. Kirkwood, and James L. Corner specialized edited by Ward Edwards, Ralph F. Miles, Jr., Detlof von Winterfeldt Includes bibliographical references and index Decision making 9780521863681 0521863686 0521682304 (pbk.) 9780521682305 (pbk.) http://www.loc.gov/catdir/toc/ecip0618/2006025610.html http://www.loc.gov/catdir/toc/ecip0618/2006025610.html UMP 090115 20251117145451.0 vtls000033905