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  <titleInfo>
    <title>An ensemble of neural network and modified grey wolf optimizer for stock prediction</title>
  </titleInfo>
  <name type="personal">
    <namePart>Das, Debashish</namePart>
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    <dateIssued encoding="marc">2019</dateIssued>
    <copyrightDate encoding="marc">2019</copyrightDate>
    <issuance>monographic</issuance>
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  <language>
    <languageTerm authority="iso639-2b" type="code">eng</languageTerm>
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  <physicalDescription>
    <extent>xiii, 155 pages : illustrations ; 30 cm. + 1 CD-ROM</extent>
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  <abstract>Optimization relates to the process of finding the optimum solution (either maximize or minimize)  to  a  particular  problem  satisfying  some  given  constraints.  Owing  to  its simplicity and flexibility, meta-heuristics  have been proven to be effective for solving optimization problems. To date, there are many meta-heuristics have been developed in the literature. In line with the No Free Lunch theorem which suggests that no single metaheuristic is the best for all optimization problems, the search for better algorithms is still a worthy endeavour. Grey Wolf Optimizer (GWO) is a recently developed meta-heuristic algorithm  which  is  appealing  to  researcher  owing  to  its  demonstrated  performance  as cited in the scientific literature. Despite its performances, GWO is not without limitation.Precisely, the current best optimal individual  of GWO  is biased toward alpha and other individuals  (e.g.  beta  and  delta)  attempt  to  modify  their  positions  toward  this  best individual in each iteration process. This update process may cause the algorithm to fall to  local optima especially in the cases where there are many competing local optima. Therefore, the research attempts to modify GWO to addresses the limitation of GWO for improvement  of  exploration  by  strengthen  the  searching  process  via  several  random leaders  in  each  iteration,  re-generating  the  random  leaders  in  each  iteration  and introducing archive to verify the solution with better probability to proceed further for training and  re-generation. The verification of each solution individually  by Modified GWO,  instead  of  considering  as  a  final  solution,  facilitates  the  improvement  of  the exploration. Additionally, the research restricts  the number of variables through feature selection  to  enhance  the  performance  of  the  algorithm.  Subsequently,  the  research attempts  to  construct  an  ensemble  model  applying  Modified  Grey  Wolf  Optimizer (MGWO)  and  neural  network  for  stock  prediction.  Widespread  models  like  Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), Genetic Algorithm (GA), Ant Colony Optimization (ACO), Evolutionary Strategy (ES) and Population-Based Incremental Learning (PBIL) dealing with the specified problems are also explored and compared. The research implements stock  prediction  analysis  as  a  case  study  for  training  the  neural  network  by  adopting MGWO algorithm. In this research, data is collected from reputed stock markets; New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), NASDAQ and emerging markets; Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE),  Bursa  Malaysia.  Moreover,  various  factors  data  like  Dollar  price,  Gold  price, Bank interest rate, Foreign Direct Investment, and Inflation are collected to measure the effect  in  stock  market.  K-means  clustering  is  applied  to  select  the  highly  promising company; MGWO is implemented  for feature selection and training;  finally, MGWO-NN is applied to predict the stock price. The “ensemble” model selected here to achieve better predictive performance, is used to predict future market price. The proposed  approachoutperforms  existing  available  meta-heuristic  algorithms.  Specifically,  the  proposed model achieved 97% classification rate, 95% precise prediction and less than 2.0 error rate.  In conclusion, the successful implementation of MGWO and ensemble model makes a valuable contribution to scientific arena</abstract>
  <targetAudience authority="marctarget">specialized</targetAudience>
  <note type="statement of responsibility">Debashish Das</note>
  <note>Faculty of Computer Systems and Software Engineering</note>
  <note>Thesis (Doctor of Philosophy) -- Universiti Malaysia Pahang – 2019</note>
  <note>Includes bibliographical references</note>
  <subject authority="lcsh">
    <name type="corporate">
      <namePart>Faculty of Computer Systems and Software Engineering</namePart>
    </name>
    <topic>Disertations</topic>
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    <topic>Universities and colleges</topic>
    <topic>Disertations</topic>
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  <subject authority="lcsh">
    <topic>Theses</topic>
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  <identifier type="isbn">THE0008331(Local)</identifier>
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    <recordCreationDate encoding="marc">191112</recordCreationDate>
    <recordChangeDate encoding="iso8601">20251125105425.0</recordChangeDate>
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      <languageTerm authority="iso639-2b" type="code">eng</languageTerm>
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