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020 _a9780309115698 (electronic bk.)
020 _a0309115698 (electronic bk.)
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090 _aQC861.3 .R48 2008
245 0 0 _aReview of CCSP draft synthesis and assessment product 5.3
_h[electronic resource] :
_bdecison- support experiments and evaluations using seasonal to interannual forecasts and observational data /
_cPanel to Review CCSP Draft Synthesis and Assessment Product 5.3: Decision-Support Experiments and Evaluations Using Seasonal to Interannual Forecasts and Observational Data ; Committee on the Human Dimensions of Global Change, Center for Economic, Governance and International Studies, Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education, National Research Council of the National Academies
260 _aWashington, D.C. :
_bNational Academies Press,
_cc2008
300 _a1 online resource (ix, 46 p.) :
_bill.
500 _aDescription based on print version record
504 _aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 40-42)
520 _aThis study offered an independent peer review for a synthetic document being produced for the CCSP. It found the draft document to be in a fairly early stage of development and noted several issues needing attention in the revision. The draft was inconsistent across sections with respect to whether or not it accepted two assumptions: that more skillful forecasts necessarily have greater value, and that the most useful form of information is a projected future value of an outcome parameter with an uncertainty distribution. Available scientific evidence gives reason to question these assumptions, and the draft did not discuss the evidence. Among other issues needing attention, the review called for the revised draft to do more to substantiate its claims of the potential benefits of knowledge-action networks and to give more careful consideration to the appropriate balance of roles between governmental and private efforts
538 _aMode of access: Internet
650 0 _aClimatology
_xResearch
_zUnited States
_xEvaluation
650 0 _aClimatic changes
_xRisk assessment
650 0 _aAtmospheric carbon dioxide
_xEnvironmental aspects
710 2 _aNational Research Council (U.S.).
_bPanel to Review CCSP Draft Synthesis and Assessment Product 5.3: Decision-Support Experiments and Evaluations Using Seasonal to Interannual Forecasts and Observational Data
710 2 _aNational Research Council (U.S.).
_bCommittee on the Human Dimensions of Global Change
856 4 0 _3NetLibrary. click here to access
_uhttp://www.netlibrary.com.libraryumpsa.idm.oclc.org/urlapi.asp?action=summary&v=1&bookid=220465
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