000			01912nam a2200337 a 4500
001			vtls000039841
003			KUKTEM
005			20251117145446.0
008			090708t2008 njua f b 001 0 eng d
020			_a9780691130958 (pbk. : alk. paper)
020			_a0691130957 (pbk. : alk. paper)
020			_a9780691130941 (alk. paper)
020			_a0691130949 (alk. paper)
039		9	_a201107132149 _bVLOAD _c201010181537 _dfauzi _c200908141645 _dVLOAD _c200908141622 _dVLOAD _y200907081203 _zsaini
040			_aUMP
090			_aHB1321 .G56 2008
100	1		_aGirosi, Federico
245	1	0	_aDemographic forecasting / _cFederico Girosi and Gary King ; with contributions from Kevin Quinn and Gregory Wawro
260			_aPrinceton : _bPrinceton University Press, _cc2008
300			_axviii, 267 p. : _bill. (some col.) ; _c27 cm.
504			_aIncludes bibliographical references (p. [251]-257) and index
505	0		_aQualitative view -- Existing methods for forecasting mortality. Methods without covariates ; Methods with covariates -- Statistical modeling. The model ; Priors over grouped continuous variables ; Model selection ; Adding priors over time and space ; Comparisons and extensions -- Estimation. Markov Chain Monte Carlo estimation ; Fast estimation without Markov Chains -- Empirical evidence. Illustrative analyses ; Comparative analyses ; Concluding remarks ; A. Notation -- B. Mathematical refresher -- C. Improper normal priors -- D. Discretization of the derivative operator -- E. Smoothness over graphs
650	1	2	_aMortality
650	1	2	_aForecasting _xmethods
650	2	2	_aModels, Statistical
650		0	_aMortality _xForecasting _xMethodology
650		0	_aMortality _xStatistical methods
650		0	_aDemography
700	1		_aKing, Gary
999			_aVIRTUA40 _c46680 _d46686
999			_aVTLSSORT0080*0200*0201*0202*0203*0400*0900*1000*2450*2600*3000*5040*5050*6500*6501*6502*6503*6504*6505*7000*9991