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020 _aTHE0000448(Local)
039 9 _a201905151458
_bnazirah
_c201712131210
_dfateeha
_c201612151601
_dfateeha
_y201611230953
_zfateeha
040 _aUMP
090 _aFKASA .H363 2016 r Bc.
100 0 _aNur Hanani Farhah Mohd Hilmi
245 1 0 _aProjection the future changes of rainfall and temperature at Pahang state /
_cNur Hanani Farhah Mohd Hilmi
260 _aKuantan, Pahang :
_bUMP,
_c2016
300 _axii, 76 p. :
_bcol. ill. ;
_c30 cm. +
_e1 CD-ROM
500 _aFaculty of Civil Engineering and Earth Resources
502 _aProject Paper (Bachelors of Civil Engineering) -- Universiti Malaysia Pahang – 2016
504 _aBibliography : p. 74-76
520 3 _aThis paper assesses the projection of future changes that focus on climatic trend at Pahang state. To analyse this changes of climate, one of the models are used to stimulate this projection which is using statistical downscaling model (SDSM). In this study, the SDSM has been measured using predictor derived from National Centre for Environmental Prediction (NCEP). About 5 predictors were selected for 12 rainfall stations and 1 temperature station based on the correlation value between predictors-predictant relationships Moreover, statistical downscaling model are used to produce the possible projection values of local meteorological variable such as temperature and rainfall at the location already selected which is at Pahang state. The purpose of this study is to generate the future climate trend in term of temperature, rainfall and wet and dry length in the future year 2010 to 2099. This study also wants to estimate the percentage of climatic changes between historical and upcoming at future year. Using SDSM model, the result will be more performed better than other model. The calibrated and validated results show the SDSM produce good simulated result with average error only 0.3% for temperature and 10% for rainfall.
610 2 0 _aFaculty of Civil Engineering and Earth Resources
_xDissertations
650 0 _aUniversities and Colleges
_xDissertations
650 0 _aTheses
856 4 0 _uhttp://ecollib.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/4035
_zAccess in library only
999 _aVIRTUA40
_c7037
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