Demographic forecasting /
Girosi, Federico
Demographic forecasting / Federico Girosi and Gary King ; with contributions from Kevin Quinn and Gregory Wawro - Princeton : Princeton University Press, c2008 - xviii, 267 p. : ill. (some col.) ; 27 cm.
Includes bibliographical references (p. [251]-257) and index
Qualitative view -- Existing methods for forecasting mortality. Methods without covariates ; Methods with covariates -- Statistical modeling. The model ; Priors over grouped continuous variables ; Model selection ; Adding priors over time and space ; Comparisons and extensions -- Estimation. Markov Chain Monte Carlo estimation ; Fast estimation without Markov Chains -- Empirical evidence. Illustrative analyses ; Comparative analyses ; Concluding remarks ; A. Notation -- B. Mathematical refresher -- C. Improper normal priors -- D. Discretization of the derivative operator -- E. Smoothness over graphs
9780691130958 (pbk. : alk. paper) 0691130957 (pbk. : alk. paper) 9780691130941 (alk. paper) 0691130949 (alk. paper)
Mortality
Forecasting--methods
Models, Statistical
Mortality--Forecasting--Methodology
Mortality--Statistical methods
Demography
Demographic forecasting / Federico Girosi and Gary King ; with contributions from Kevin Quinn and Gregory Wawro - Princeton : Princeton University Press, c2008 - xviii, 267 p. : ill. (some col.) ; 27 cm.
Includes bibliographical references (p. [251]-257) and index
Qualitative view -- Existing methods for forecasting mortality. Methods without covariates ; Methods with covariates -- Statistical modeling. The model ; Priors over grouped continuous variables ; Model selection ; Adding priors over time and space ; Comparisons and extensions -- Estimation. Markov Chain Monte Carlo estimation ; Fast estimation without Markov Chains -- Empirical evidence. Illustrative analyses ; Comparative analyses ; Concluding remarks ; A. Notation -- B. Mathematical refresher -- C. Improper normal priors -- D. Discretization of the derivative operator -- E. Smoothness over graphs
9780691130958 (pbk. : alk. paper) 0691130957 (pbk. : alk. paper) 9780691130941 (alk. paper) 0691130949 (alk. paper)
Mortality
Forecasting--methods
Models, Statistical
Mortality--Forecasting--Methodology
Mortality--Statistical methods
Demography