Demographic forecasting / Federico Girosi and Gary King ; with contributions from Kevin Quinn and Gregory Wawro
Material type:
TextPublication details: Princeton : Princeton University Press, c2008Description: xviii, 267 p. : ill. (some col.) ; 27 cmISBN: - 9780691130958 (pbk. : alk. paper)
- 0691130957 (pbk. : alk. paper)
- 9780691130941 (alk. paper)
- 0691130949 (alk. paper)
| Item type | Current library | Call number | Copy number | Status | Date due | Barcode | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open Shelf
|
UMPLIB GAMBANG | HB1321 .G56 2008 (Browse shelf(Opens below)) | 1 | Available | 0000050293 |
Includes bibliographical references (p. [251]-257) and index
Qualitative view -- Existing methods for forecasting mortality. Methods without covariates ; Methods with covariates -- Statistical modeling. The model ; Priors over grouped continuous variables ; Model selection ; Adding priors over time and space ; Comparisons and extensions -- Estimation. Markov Chain Monte Carlo estimation ; Fast estimation without Markov Chains -- Empirical evidence. Illustrative analyses ; Comparative analyses ; Concluding remarks ; A. Notation -- B. Mathematical refresher -- C. Improper normal priors -- D. Discretization of the derivative operator -- E. Smoothness over graphs