Time arrival in series forecasting model for tourist National Park Kuala Tahan, Pahang / (Record no. 96407)

MARC details
000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 02603ntm a2200361 i 4500
003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER
control field MY-KuUP
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
control field 20251125105953.0
006 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--ADDITIONAL MATERIAL CHARACTERISTICS
fixed length control field t||||fr|||| 000 0
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 220329s2021 my a|||frm||| 000 0 eng d
020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER
International Standard Book Number THE0009193(Local)
Qualifying information hardback
040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE
Original cataloging agency UMP
Language of cataloging eng
Transcribing agency UMP
Description conventions rda
090 ## - LOCALLY ASSIGNED LC-TYPE CALL NUMBER (OCLC); LOCAL CALL NUMBER (RLIN)
Classification number (OCLC) (R) ; Classification number, CALL (RLIN) (NR) PSM .A354 2021 r Thesis
100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Megat Muhammad Afif Megat Muainuddin,
Relator term author.
245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Time arrival in series forecasting model for tourist National Park Kuala Tahan, Pahang /
Statement of responsibility, etc. Megat Muhammad Afif Megat Muainuddin
264 #1 - PRODUCTION, PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, MANUFACTURE, AND COPYRIGHT NOTICE
Place of production, publication, distribution, manufacture Kuantan, Pahang :
Name of producer, publisher, distributor, manufacturer UMP,
Date of production, publication, distribution, manufacture, or copyright notice 2021
264 #4 - PRODUCTION, PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, MANUFACTURE, AND COPYRIGHT NOTICE
Date of production, publication, distribution, manufacture, or copyright notice © 2021
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Extent xi, 123 pages :
Other physical details illustrations (some color) ;
Dimensions 30 cm. +
Accompanying material 1 CD-ROM
336 ## - CONTENT TYPE
Content type term text
Source rdacontent
336 ## - CONTENT TYPE
Content type term text
Source rdacontent
337 ## - MEDIA TYPE
Media type term unmediated
Source rdamedia
337 ## - MEDIA TYPE
Media type term computer
Source rdamedia
338 ## - CARRIER TYPE
Carrier type term volume
Source rdacarrier
338 ## - CARRIER TYPE
Carrier type term computer disc
Source rdacarrier
347 ## - DIGITAL FILE CHARACTERISTICS
File type text file
Encoding format PDF
Source rda
500 ## - GENERAL NOTE
General note Centre for Mathematical Sciences
502 ## - DISSERTATION NOTE
Dissertation note Thesis (Master of Science (Mathematics) -- Universiti Malaysia Pahang – 2021
504 ## - BIBLIOGRAPHY, ETC. NOTE
Bibliography, etc. note Includes bibliographical references
520 3# - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc. Tourism forecasting can lead to an important element in tourism industry to ensure that each investment by individuals, companies and government is profitable. From economy perspective, eco-tourism is a growing business and it is an important indicator to the tourism industry. It also generates income revenue to the owner and surrounding communities. This research aims to forecast the eco-tourism demand based on number of tourist arrival for both local and foreign tourist at National Park Kuala Tahan, Pahang. The forecasting models used are seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) and exponential smoothing. Both forecasting models are compared and assessed using Mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), root mean square error (RMSE) and mean absolute error (MAE). The result demonstrated that the best model to forecast the number of tourist arrival in National Park Kuala Tahan, Pahang is SARIMA (1,0,0)(1,0,1) 12 which is based on the smallest value of MAPE, RMSE and MSE. Hence, the exponential smoothing is not as good as the SARIMA model in forecasting tourist arrival for the data used. In future study, SARIMA model can be used to compare between the local and foreign tourist arrival for eco-tourism destination
610 20 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--CORPORATE NAME
Corporate name or jurisdiction name as entry element Centre for Mathematical Sciences
General subdivision Dissertations
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Universities and colleges
General subdivision Dissertations
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Theses
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Source of classification or shelving scheme Library of Congress Classification
Koha item type Thesis
Holdings
Withdrawn status Lost status Source of classification or shelving scheme Damaged status Not for loan Collection Home library Current library Shelving location Date acquired Total checkouts Full call number Barcode Date last seen Copy number Price effective from Koha item type
  Not lost Library of Congress Classification   Not for loan Reference UMPLIB GAMBANG UMPLIB GAMBANG Reference 13/01/2022   PSM .A354 2021 r Thesis T000001573 19/05/2022 1 13/01/2022 Thesis
  Not lost Library of Congress Classification   Not for loan Reference UMPLIB GAMBANG UMPLIB GAMBANG Reference 29/03/2022   CD12956 T000001574 30/01/2023 1 29/03/2022 Thesis

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